Is it 1938 all over again? Europe can't decide what to do about a
power-hungry dictator who only wants a small part of a country with an
ethnic Russian minority. Unfortunately, there are several newly
independent nations that fit that description.
Will there be
peace in our time? But of course, as Russian Television tweeted: Putin
will not go to war with Ukraine, our relations are fraternal.
The
main difference between now and then is that the United States is not
sitting on the sidelines, though some will say why should America care?
US
Secretary of State John Kerry is meeting Wednesday in Paris to discuss
the Ukraine with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
The most
urgent pleas for help, other than Kiev, are coming from Poland. They can
well remember how Hitler's Germany fabricated incidents to justify
invading them, and the Soviets took what was left.
Europe is
offering $15 billion in aid over the next two years, according to Jose
Manuel Barroso, president of the European Commission. Kerry says the US
will buttress that with an additional $1 billion.
That is not
quite half what Ukraine says it needs. It is not clear how avid foreign
investors will be about spending money in a country that could be
annexed by the new Russian empire.
"The Russian aggression on
Ukraine's territory is having political and economic consequences. The
presence of the Russian military on Ukraine's territory is having an
extremely negative effect of Ukraine's economy," said Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk.
Of course foreign investors are fleeing Russia, too.
The idea of sending in international monitors to see if ethnic Russians are safe in Crimea is certain to be vetoed by Russia.
Ukraine
can write off its Russian debt, just as Syria has already done, perhaps
setting Moscow on the same course for bankruptcy that brought down the
Berlin Wall.
The mainstream media has concluded Europe is impotent
because it needs Russian gas, though there are big stockpiles and it is
a warm winter.
France, just like 1938, is the main voice calling
for action. Sadly, no one, particularly their British allies, supported
them then.
"Let's start to initiate the path of dialogue, but at
the same time, tomorrow there is an EU summit and sanctions could be
voted tomorrow if there is no de-escalation," said French Foreign
Minister Laurent Fabius.
One Russian response has been to begin
testing new ICBMs and violating the airspace of NATO-member Turkey. It
recalls Russian Bears flying into Alaskan airspace and being turned back
by American jets.
Also as in 1938, the Crimean Peninsula is being
portrayed in the Russian media as a hotbed of Nazi reactionaries, bent
on harming ethnic Russians. The Washington Post reported not a single
report of such activity has been reported, let alone confirmed.
It
is only slightly more absurd than the 1,314 residents of Point Roberts,
the tip of a peninsula that extends from Canada, claiming they are in
danger of aggression from Ottawa.
Putin said the governor of Lutsk was tortured. The Post said he was doused with water.
Hitler presaged his plans in his book, “Mein Kampf.” Putin has said the greatest catastrophe of the 20th century.
The lukewarm support for the US is partly a result of the invasion of Iraq in a futile search for weapons of mass destruction.
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